How would you explain a confidence interval to a non-technical audience?
Anonymous
It is a range of values where any sample value are likely to fall into with certain probability. It is calculated based on some sample from the entire population. For example, we want to figure out the average height of women in the U.S.. Assume someone tell you that the 95% confidence interval is (5’2, 5’7), that means if we randomly pick one woman from the crowd, there is 95% chance that the height of this women is between 5’2 and 5’7. Or in other words, if we randomly pick 100 woman from the crowd, we are confident that the height of at least 95 of them are between 5’2 and 5’7.
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